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The New Mexico State Aggies and Bowling Green Falcons make their first bowl appearances in several years when they meet Monday in the 2022 Quick Lane Bowl in Detroit. The Aggies (6-6) last played in a bowl in 2017, beating Utah State in the Arizona Bowl. That was just their fourth postseason matchup, and their first in 56 years. The Falcons (6-6) were routed by Georgia Southern in the 2015 GoDaddy Bowl, their 12th and most recent appearance in a bowl game. The Aggies won five of their final six games, while the Falcons won four of their last six.
Kickoff at Ford Field is set for Monday at 2:30 p.m. ET. The Falcons are 3.5-point favorites in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest New Mexico State vs. Bowling Green Quick Lane Bowl odds, and the over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5. Before locking in any Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State picks or Quick Lane Bowl bets, make sure you check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has locked in on New Mexico State vs. Bowling Green and just revealed its Quick Lane Bowl 2022 predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s picks. Here are the CFB odds and betting lines for Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State:
- New Mexico St. vs. Bowling Green spread: Falcons -3.5
- New Mexico St. vs. Bowling Green over/under: 48.5 points
- New Mexico St. vs. Bowling Green money line: Aggies +143, Falcons -170
- NMSU: It is 14-10 ATS since the start of the 2020 season
- BG: It is 5-2-1 ATS in its past eight non-conference games
- New Mexico St. vs. Bowling Green picks: See picks here
Featured Game | Bowling Green Falcons vs. New Mexico State Aggies
Why the Falcons can cover
Bowling Green has played one of the tougher schedules in the MAC, going 5-3. The Aggies had one of the easiest schedules in the nation, and two of their victories came against FCS teams. The Falcons’ passing attack can be potent when it gets rolling, and quarterback Matt McDonald threw for 2,639 yards and 22 touchdowns this season. Bowling Green is 4-2 when it passes for at least 247 yards and 2-4 when it doesn’t. The Falcons average 237 passing yards per game.
They beat Marshall a week after the Thundering Herd knocked off Notre Dame, and defeated Toledo, the eventual MAC champion. McDonald threw for 395 yards in the victory against the Rockets to clinch bowl eligibility. Odieu Hiliare had 246 receiving yards in that game and has 704 and six TDs this season. Fellow wideout Tyrone Broden also has scored six times, and tight end Christian Sims has 41 receptions. The Falcons are 3-3 against the spread in their past six.
Why the Aggies can cover
New Mexico State is 3-0-1 straight-up in bowl games, and defense has been its key to success. The unit allows 343 yards per game (33rd in FBS), while the Falcons offense averages 338 (106th). The Aggies have 27 sacks this season, 7.5 by Lazarus Williams, and Bowling Green has allowed 36. NMSU has been average against the run (80th in FBS) but is 14th in the nation against the pass (185 YPG), so they should be able to take away Bowling Green’s strength.
The Falcons average just 101 rushing yards per game, which ranks 121st in the nation. New Mexico State is 5-1 ATS in its past six games and 7-5 ATS overall. The Aggies average 156 yards per game on the ground, and quarterback Diego Pavia comes off one of his best passing games. He threw for 323 yards and a career-best four touchdowns in the 56-3 victory against Valparaiso. Star Thomas is the team’s top rusher with 477 yards, and Pavia has run for 443.
How to make New Mexico St. vs. Bowling Green picks
The model has simulated the Quick Lane Bowl matchup 10,000 times, and the results are in. The model is leaning Over on the point total, with simulations projecting 49 combined points. The model also has generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in more than 60% of simulations. You can only get the model’s Quick Lane Bowl picks at SportsLine.
So who wins the Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State matchup in Monday’s Quick Lane Bowl? And which side of the spread is hitting more than 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the New Mexico State vs. Bowling Green spread to back Monday in the Quick Lane Bowl, all from the advanced model that has been crushing its top-rated college football picks, and find out.
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