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The Atlanta Falcons will try to get back to the .500 mark this season when they face the Washington Commanders on Sunday afternoon. Atlanta snapped a two-game losing streak with a 27-24 win against Chicago last week. Washington has won five of its last six games, beating Philadelphia and Houston in its past two contests.
Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. Washington is favored by 4 points in the latest Commanders vs. Falcons odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 40.5. Before entering any Falcons vs. Commanders picks, you’ll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 155-109 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Commanders vs. Falcons. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Commanders vs. Falcons:
- Commanders vs. Falcons spread: Commanders -4
- Commanders vs. Falcons over/under: 40.5 points
- Commanders vs. Falcons money line: Washington -205, Atlanta +170
- Commanders vs. Falcons picks: See picks here
Featured Game | Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons
Why the Falcons can cover
Atlanta snapped a two-game losing streak with a 27-24 win over Chicago last week, using a late field goal to pick up the win. The Falcons used 149 rushing yards to notch the win, averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Washington has not played a home game since Week 9, which resulted in a 20-17 loss to Minnesota.
The Falcons are only a half-game back of Tampa Bay in the NFC South standings, so they have plenty of motivation entering this week. Quarterback Marcus Mariota has been solid away from home this season, throwing seven touchdown passes in five outings. He has also thrown just one interception in his last three road games, and Atlanta has covered in five of its last six trips to Washington.
Why the Commanders can cover
Washington has put together back-to-back outstanding first-half performances, leading to wins over Philadelphia and Houston in its last two games. The Commanders raced out to a 20-0 lead before cruising to a 23-10 win over Houston last week. They averaged just five first-half points per game over their previous eight contests, but they have been able to get off to hot starts of late.
Quarterback Taylor Heinicke has not been putting up big numbers, but he has been solid as a replacement for the injured Carson Wentz. Washington’s offense had averaged just 15.3 points per game in the six outings before Heinicke took over as the starter. The Commanders have averaged 152.5 rushing yards and scored three touchdowns over the past two games, and they have gone unbeaten against the spread in their last six contests.
How to make Falcons vs. Commanders picks
The model has simulated Commanders vs. Falcons 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over on the total, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Falcons vs. Commanders? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Commanders vs. Falcons spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model that has crushed its NFL picks, and find out.
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