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Group 1’s semi final qualifiers at the T20 World Cup will be decided over Friday and Saturday with almost every nation still in with a shot.
Five teams (New Zealand, England, Australia, Sri Lanka and Ireland) in the group still have a mathematical chance of finishing inside the top two.
Even New Zealand, top of the table on five points, could still technically fail to progress.
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Australia, meanwhile, does not have complete control of its destiny having lost heavily to the Black Caps in the opening match.
It means that Australia needs to at least win its final match against Afghanistan to go through to the next stage, and then hope other things go its way.
Given five teams are still alive, there are many ways in which the final games could play out.
Below is not an exhaustive list of all the ways it could play out, but these are the three most likely ways in which Australia can reach the semi finals.
SCENARIO 1
Australia goes through if…
– it beats Afghanistan
– England loses against Sri Lanka
SCENARIO 2
Australia goes through if…
– it beats Afghanistan
– England beats Sri Lanka, but ends with worse NRR
SCENARIO 3
Australia goes through if…
– it beats Afghanistan
– England beats Sri Lanka
– New Zealand also lose to Ireland
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FINAL FIXTURES (times AEDT)
Friday at Adelaide Oval
3pm: Ireland vs New Zealand
7pm: Australia vs Afghanistan
Saturday at the SCG
7pm: Sri Lanka vs England
GROUP 1 TABLE WITH ONE GAME TO PLAY
1. New Zealand — five points, +2.233 NRR
2. England — five points, +0.547 NRR
3. Australia — five points, -0.304 NRR
4. Sri Lanka — four points, -0.457 NRR
5. Ireland — three points, -1.544 NRR
6. Afghanistan — two points, -0.718NRR
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