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Intriguing Western Conference foes face off in a spotlight game on Tuesday evening. The New Orleans Pelicans (2-1) host Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (1-1) in a potential playoff preview at Smoothie King Center, with both teams entering with only one loss to begin the 2022-23 season. Brandon Ingram (concussion) is out for the Pelicans, with Zion Williamson (hip) and Herbert Jones (knee) listed as questionable. Davis Bertans (knee) and Frank Ntilikina (ankle) are out for the Mavericks.
Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET in New Orleans. Caesars Sportsbook lists Dallas as a 4.5-point road favorite, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 220.5 in the latest Mavericks vs. Pelicans odds. Before making any Pelicans vs. Mavericks picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four seasons. The model enters Week 2 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 91-63 roll on all top-rated NBA picks that dates back to last season, returning more than $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Mavs vs. Pelicans and locked in its NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Pelicans vs. Mavs:
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans spread: Mavericks -4.5
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans over/under: 220.5 points
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans money line: Mavericks -195, Pelicans +162
- DAL: The Mavericks are 29-23 against the spread in the last 52 road games
- NO: The Pelicans are 23-22-1 against the spread in the last 46 home games
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game | New Orleans Pelicans vs. Dallas Mavericks
Why the Mavericks can cover
Dallas is aiming to build off an impressive 2021-22 season. The Mavericks made a trip to the Western Conference Finals last season, pairing a dynamic offense with a top-flight defense. Dallas ranked No. 3 in the NBA in turnovers (12.5 per game) a year ago, and the Mavericks made 54.8% of shot attempts inside the 3-point arc. The Mavericks also finished in the top tier of the league with 104.7 points allowed per game and 1.09 points allowed per possession.
Opponents struggled mightily from 3-point range against Dallas, making only 34.0% of attempts, and the Mavericks are off to another strong start on defense, yielding only 101.5 points per game. Dallas is holding opponents to 30.9% from 3-point distance and 45.1% from the field so far in 2022-23, and Dallas is putting up 121.0 points per game on offense behind a 48.5% shooting clip and 35.0 free throw attempts per game.
Why the Pelicans can cover
New Orleans is off to a flying start, especially on the offensive side. The Pelicans are averaging 125.0 points per game, and New Orleans is leading the NBA with 16.7 offensive rebounds per game. That dominance on the offensive glass is a continuation of last season, and New Orleans is also shooting 47.8% from the field with 28.0 assists per game. New Orleans is generating 28.0 free throw attempts per game and making 79.8% at the charity stripe, with three players averaging at least 22 points per game and a fourth, Jonas Valanciunas, averaging 17 points and 13 rebounds per contest.
On defense, New Orleans is forcing 15.7 turnovers per contest, and the Pelicans are in the top 10 of the league in field goal percentage allowed (44.7%) and 2-point percentage allowed (50.8%). In 2021-22, the Pelicans also ranked near the top of the league in defensive rebound rate (74.2%), steals per game (8.3) and turnovers created per game (14.2).
How to make Pelicans vs. Mavericks picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 229 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Mavs vs. Pelicans? And which side of the spread hits 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
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