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The last round of the 2022 AFL home and away season is here, with 10 teams still in the running to win the premiership.
But only eight can make it into September – and they’re all vying for the best positions on the final ladder heading into the finals.
Follow live updates below during Round 23 as we explain what has happened, what each contender needs and update the live ladder.
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AFL LIVE LADDER (Last update: Before start of Round 23)
1. Geelong Cats (17-4, 139.7%)
2. Sydney Swans (15-6, 128.3%)
3. Melbourne (15-6, 127.7%)
4. Brisbane Lions (15-6, 124.1%)
5. Collingwood (15-6, 104.4%)
6. Fremantle (14-6-1, 116.4%)
7. Richmond (12-8-1, 118.7%)
8. Carlton (12-9, 108.8%)
9. Western Bulldogs (11-10, 107.9%)
10. St Kilda (11-10, 100.1%)
ROUND 23 FIXTURE AND RESULTS (All times AEST)
Brisbane Lions vs Melbourne, Friday 7:50pm at the Gabba
GWS Giants vs Fremantle, Saturday 1:45pm at Manuka Oval
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast Suns, Saturday 2:10pm at Marvel Stadium
Geelong Cats vs West Coast Eagles, Saturday 4:35pm at GMHBA Stadium
Essendon vs Richmond, Saturday 7:25pm at the MCG
Port Adelaide vs Adelaide Crows, Saturday 7:30pm at Adelaide Oval
Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs, Sunday 1:10pm at UTAS Stadium
Carlton vs Collingwood, Sunday 3:20pm at the MCG
St Kilda vs Sydney Swans, Sunday 4:40pm at Marvel Stadium
PREDICTED WEEK 1 FINALS (Last update: Before start of Round 23)
First Qualifying Final (1st hosts 4th): Geelong Cats vs Collingwood at the MCG
First Elimination Final (5th hosts 8th): Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs at Optus Stadium
Second Elimination Final (6th hosts 7th): Brisbane Lions vs Richmond at the Gabba
Second Qualifying Final (2nd hosts 3rd): Sydney Swans vs Melbourne at the SCG
How Round 23 will play out chronologically
– Friday night: The Brisbane v Melbourne winner will make the top four and the loser will almost certainly host an elimination final, with exact seeding to be determined on Sunday;
– Saturday afternoon: Fremantle can keep its top four hopes alive by beating GWS in Canberra, needing to wait until Sunday evening to find out if they make it;
– Saturday twilight: Geelong celebrates the minor premiership at home against West Coast;
– Saturday night: Richmond can lock up seventh spot by beating Essendon;
– Sunday early: The Western Bulldogs must beat Hawthorn in Launceston to keep the pressure on Carlton;
– Sunday afternoon: If the Bulldogs win by a couple of goals or more, Carlton must beat Collingwood to play finals, while the Magpies will earn a top-four spot with a victory;
– Sunday twilight: Depending on earlier results, Sydney may need to win to seal a top-four or top-two spot (perhaps with a percentage race like last year’s Brisbane-West Coast game) while St Kilda may mathematically (if improbably) be alive for the last spot in the eight.
CURRENT SCENARIOS FOR ALL 10 CONTENDERS
1. GEELONG CATS
Round 23 game: West Coast Eagles at GMHBA Stadium, Saturday 4:35pm
Win or Lose: Finish 1st
2. SYDNEY SWANS
Round 23 game: St Kilda at Marvel Stadium, Sunday 4:40pm
Win: Finish 2nd if they’re ahead of the Brisbane-Melbourne winner on percentage, 3rd if they’re behind them
Lose: Finish 3rd if Brisbane loses to Melbourne, Collingwood loses to Carlton and Fremantle loses to GWS, 4th if Melbourne, Collingwood and Fremantle lose, 5th if one of Collingwood and Fremantle wins, 6th if both Collingwood and Fremantle win [being ahead of the Brisbane-Melbourne loser dependent on percentage]
3. MELBOURNE
Round 23 game: Brisbane Lions at the Gabba, Friday 7:50pm
Win: Finish 2nd if Sydney loses to St Kilda OR if they’re ahead of a victorious Sydney on percentage, 3rd if Sydney beats St Kilda and is ahead on percentage
Lose: Finish 3rd if Sydney loses to St Kilda, Fremantle loses to GWS and Collingwood loses to Carlton, 4th if two of them lose, 5th if one of them lose, 6th if none of them lose [being ahead of Sydney dependent on percentage]
4. BRISBANE LIONS
Round 23 game: Melbourne at the Gabba, Friday 7:50pm
Win: Finish 2nd if Sydney loses to St Kilda OR if they pass a victorious Sydney on percentage, 3rd if Sydney beats St Kilda and stays ahead on percentage
Lose: Finish 3rd if Sydney loses to St Kilda by heaps, Fremantle loses to GWS and Collingwood loses to Carlton, 4th if two of them lose, 5th if one of them lose, 6th if none of them lose [being ahead of Sydney dependent on percentage]
5. COLLINGWOOD
Round 23 game: Carlton at the MCG, Sunday 3:20pm
Win: Finish 3rd if Sydney loses to St Kilda, 4th if Sydney beats St Kilda
Lose: Finish 5th if Fremantle loses to GWS, 6th if Fremantle beats GWS
6. FREMANTLE
Round 23 game: GWS Giants at Manuka Oval, Saturday 1:45pm
Win: Finish 3rd if Sydney loses to St Kilda and Collingwood loses to Carlton, 4th if one of them lose, 5th if neither lose
Lose: Finish 6th
7. RICHMOND
Round 23 game: Essendon at the MCG, Saturday 7:25pm
Win: Finish 7th
Lose: Finish 8th if Carlton beats Collingwood, otherwise 7th
8. CARLTON
Round 23 game: Collingwood at the MCG, Sunday 3:20pm
Win: Finish 7th if Essendon beats Richmond, otherwise 8th
Lose: Finish 8th if Western Bulldogs lose to Hawthorn OR beat Hawthorn but can’t make up roughly 2 goals of percentage, otherwise miss finals
9. WESTERN BULLDOGS
Round 23 game: Hawthorn at UTAS Stadium, Sunday 1:10pm
Win: Finish 8th if Carlton loses to Collingwood and they make up roughly 2 goals of percentage, otherwise miss finals
Lose: Miss finals
10. ST KILDA
Round 23 game: Sydney Swans at Marvel Stadium, Sunday 4:40pm
Win: Finish 8th if Carlton loses to Collingwood, Western Bulldogs lose to Hawthorn and they make up roughly 20 goals of percentage, otherwise miss finals
Lose: Miss finals
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